Monday, July 23, 2007

Provincial Initiatives Outpace National Government in Iraq

General: Provincial Initiatives Outpace National Government in Iraq, By Tim Kilbride Special to American Forces Press Service

Just Chillin'  Sgt. Shawn Banker from Charlie Company, 2nd Battalion, 12th Infantry Regiment, 2nd Infantry Division takes a break with some local kids while conducting a census of the locals in the Al Duroa area of west Baghdad, Iraq. U.S. Army photo by Spc. Davis Pridgen.BAGHDAD, July 23, 2007 – The slow pace of legislation and political compromise at Iraq’s national level should not belie the potential for economic and political progress in the country’s provinces, a coalition commander said.
With security surge operations in and around Baghdad gradually clearing a path for business development and the growth of governance capacity, a window is open to transform progress in those areas into longer-term stability, Army Brig. Gen. Edward Cardon, deputy commander of Task Force Marne, said July 20.

“The importance of the economic and political progress in Iraq, if we do this right, generates a stability such that we won't need as much military power,” Cardon explained.

Efforts toward that end frequently are eclipsed in the public’s awareness by details of Iraq’s security situation; however, movement on all fronts is inextricably linked, the general said.

In his area of responsibility -- Najaf, Karbala, Babil and Wasit provinces -- Cardon said his forces and representatives of the State Department-led provincial reconstruction teams are working to draft and implement 100-day plans. These plans, he explained, “provide a focus and some benchmarks to improve both security and local governance.”

Toward those ends, he described himself as an enabler, forging relationships among Iraqi leaders to address common problems and solutions.

“What we really do is try and link the provincial government to the national government, the local government to the provincial government, working on plans for security and cooperation and coordination,” Cardon explained. “That is the hard work of personal engagement.”

Success at the local level is in relative contrast to the national government’s progress, the general pointed out. “Right now I'm somewhat disappointed with the political progress, in that it hasn't been as rapid as the security progress we've made just over the last few weeks,” he said.

“If you go back to the purpose of the surge, it was to get the security situation to a point where you could have political growth,” Cardon continued. “I think we're doing that pretty well. But the political progress right now is moving much slower than expected, although it is moving, especially at the lower levels.”

Contributing to stability in the provinces, he explained, is the expansion of tribal opposition to terrorist and insurgent presence, a phenomenon similar to what is occurring in Anbar province, Cardon said.

While the Iraqi army continues to grow in capabilities and effectiveness, the performance of the national and local police has been a “mixed bag” over the past two years, the general noted. Now though, Cardon said, shortcomings in the security forces are increasingly being filled by locally mustered vigilante groups, organized along tribal lines.

“Some of these areas that we're clearing out, we have cleared just to a point that we can hold,” Cardon said. “And what's starting to fill the gap with the Iraqi security units are these concerned citizens that are … tired of al Qaeda, of these extremist groups, and have … (decided to) protect their own neighborhoods.”

These groups are neither armed nor paid by coalition forces, Cardon clarified. “But we do acknowledge that they can secure their own areas, and in some areas that's having a real impact on the enemy,” he said.

The success of Anbar has continued to spread across belts of southern Baghdad and is even starting to swing all the way around to the east side, Cardon said. “That's buying some time for some political development if we can get the political development to move a little bit quicker,” he added.

At the provincial level, such development entails generation of program-management capabilities and movement away from a state-run economic mindset, Cardon explained.

Regarding the economy, stimulating enterprise growth and diversification is already a challenge, further complicated by a flood of Iranian imports into the areas south and east of Baghdad, the general said.

“The bigger problem now is the Iranian economic influence in Iraq, … because there's no tariffs, and the borders basically are wide open,” Cardon said. “They're importing … low-cost goods into Iraq, which then compete against Iraqi business, and it's hard for Iraqi business to compete against mass production.”

One avenue being pursued to boost the economy is the resumption of certain state-owned enterprises to push Iraqi-made niche products to in-country consumers and foreign markets, Cardon said. That task is being taken on by the Defense Department’s Task Force for Business and Stabilization Operations, he said. Other expertise comes from the State Department’s provincial reconstruction teams.

Despite progress, the sectarian radicalization of some areas is an obstacle to freedom of movement and prevents goods from getting to market, Cardon said. And while the number of “spectacular attacks” that exacerbate sectarianism has been reduced by the surge, they do still take place, he said.

Business and security issues will be discussed in an upcoming provincial governors’ conference facilitated by his office, Cardon said. The appropriate ministers from Baghdad are expected to attend to hash out disconnects between the regional and national governments.

“One of the complaints of the governors is that they're disconnected from the national government,” Cardon said. “So, you know, this is a great opportunity to … develop government capacity by just getting them together.”

(Tim Kilbride is a writer assigned to Task Force Marne Public Affairs.)

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Sunday, July 22, 2007

Harry Potter and the terrorist attacks

Does Harry Potter parody government response to terror?

Could Harry Potter be guarding the secrets of the British government's post 9/11 response to the terrorist threat" Judith Rauhofer of the University of Central Lancashire seems to think so.

Rauhofer has made a study of JK Rowling's fictional child wizard and suggests, in a research paper published today in Inderscience's International Journal of Liability and Scientific Enquiry, that the author draws several subtle parallels with contemporary society. She believes this is part of the adult appeal of the books.
Book five in the series was the first Harry Potter book to be written entirely after the terrorist attacks in New York City, Pennsylvania, and Washington on September 11, 2001. "Until then, the Harry Potter series could be seen as nothing more than a simple story of good versus evil," says Rauhofer, a Research Fellow in Law. "JK Rowling's work then evolved into something more after 9/11, a social commentary on current events, in fact."

Rauhofer believes that with the Harry Potter series Rowling has created a parallel world highlighting many of the steps taken by the British government, which she says are mostly unfair and unjustifiable, in the name of the war on terror. For instance, in the fifth book, "Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix", all wizards are issued with emergency pamphlets. "Most people who received the UK government’s “Preparing for an-emergency” pamphlet through their letterbox in 2004 will recognize the irony of Rowling's plot detail here," says Rauhofer.

Several key plot features hint at parallels between the wizard world and our muggle world, says Rauhofer. The marginalizing of an ethnic group, for instance, by the muggles themselves, identity issues with Death Eaters masquerading as others, detention without trial of Knight Bus conductor Stanley Shunpike on suspicion of Death Eater activity, interception of Arthur and Molly's post while in The Burrow in the name of safety, and many other examples.
Since the publication of the fourth book, "Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire", the publishers, Bloomsbury, has acknowledged that a large part of the readership is among adults, by publishing an adult edition alongside the children's version. Many commentators suspect that one possible rationale for this is to allow adults to read the book in public without embarrassment.
Jon Howells of Waterstone's says, "Based on our pre-order statistics we estimate that some 45 per cent of Harry Potter book 7 sales will be of the adult edition, which is up on about 23 per cent for the last book." Book 7 - Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows - goes on sale Saturday 21st July.

Marketing machinations aside, Rauhofer says that part of the attraction for the Harry Potter series among adults could lie in the possibility that they reflect contemporary society so well. "Rowling’s description of an alternative society and its government traces recent events in contemporary society," she says, "The political thread going through the series largely focuses on the way in which the Ministry of Magic deals with Lord Voldemort's return."

If Voldemort, who really should not be named, is the real terrorist threat in disguise, then the anti-Voldemort security measures taken by the Wizards could be seen to reflect various legal and political changes that have occurred in the UK since 9/11. ###

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